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Fall Line Analytics Newsletter (January 2011)
What's in store for 2011 (new Census data!)
N. Carolina CD12. This is not an attractive district
2011 will prove an important year for anyone involved in demographic and political research. Later this year, The U.S. Census Bureau will start releasing its detailed 2010 data. First and foremost will be "SF1", or the block-level age and race data used in almost every American population study imaginable. These data are aggregated into Census tracts, zip codes, counties, etc, and will be will the demographic data of record for the next decade.
Most of the recent data that have emerged are from the Census' American Community Survey, which is a yearly statistical sample of the American population. They don't go down to the block (or often even county) level. While these data are good for the big picture - see the map below - it's the decennial data that helps government, business, and campaigns make the big decisions. After this year, the Census Bureau will release other data concerning even more detailed ethnic and language breakdowns.
Census data will help decide Federal allocation of resources to states, State allocation of resources to counties, and County allocations to towns. Schools will gain or lose funds, and government programs will be heavily affected. Germane to the political world, redistricting efforts will commence all over the country. California may lose Congressional seats, and political district lines will be manipulated all over the country, down to the smallest local level. Get your gerrymandering hats on!
At Fall Line, we'll be processing the data as soon as it rolls in. We'll be helping businesses and politicians make sense of new demographic realities in San Francisco and beyond. There will be changes to track, and we'll get a sense of how recent economic problems have altered migration patterns across the U.S. If you have a business, organization, or political endeavor that requires detailed understanding of new demographic realities, please contact us. We'll be here, making the maps and crunching the numbers.
Bay Area Commuting Patterns
From the recent American Community Survey aggregate 2005-2009 data, we present a montage of San Francisco Bay Area commuting patterns.... more
Good links to know
- •Campaign finance! See the very useful and sometimes frightening databases at the California and San Francisco levels.
- •Redistricting data - The US Census home for the upcoming redistricting battles.
- •NY Times US ethnicity map - See NYT's well-known national, interactive map of ethnicity, down to the block group level